The "murder by encounter" (a term I have invented based on the lines of "death by suicide") of Vikas Dubey has shocked the whole nation. Ever since the sensational shootout happened in his village near Kanpur where supposedly his men killed 8 AK47 armed policemen and injured 6 others; the man has been subject of wide media coverage. On the auspicious day of Thursday, when he surrendered to the Madhya Pradesh police at Mahakaleshwar Temple premises, and shouted "Main Vikas Dubey, Kanpur Walla", no one realized that his cute sounding dialogue was the last thing we shall hear from him. No one knew that the potbellied man whom people were ridiculing on social media for having a "cute face" and a "cute tummy", was to be murdered in cold blood a few hours later in the hands of the Policemen he safely surrendered himself to. Everyone has the same question, "Why?"
What was the need to murder him by encounter, when he had already surrendered in front of the police and was ready to face the court and be prosecuted for whatever case was against him!
Covering up of secrets angle to his elimination
Just like Sushant Singh Rajput's death was given a "nepotism" spin in order to satisfy people's curiosity; it seems Vikas Dubey's murder has been given a "covering up of secrets" angle to shape the public opinion. So far there is only one theory going rounds and it says that the BJP got him killed to hide many political secrets he knew. This theory is very weak, since Vikas Dubey was not really associated with BJP for long time recently. And he was not even a big politician to know of any real secrets. He was just a village level politician / strongman who had aspirations to win an MLA election at the max.
First, everyone agreed that his death happened by means of a "fake encounter" by the UP Police. If anyone has any doubt, one can simply go through the news reports. Or else, here is a youtube video:
How UP Police carried out fake encounter of Vikas Dubey: Full Story
After watching this video on youtube, I started watching some of the related vidoes which were being suggested on the same page. Here, I watched this video interview of his father, after the shootout:
Vikas Dubey is not a "dreaded gangster"
In this video, we can look at and hear Vikas Dubey's father. Apart from the fact that he is most probably lying that he can't hear properly, he is mostly genuine. Does he look like father of a "dreaded gangster" which media was telling us about? I don't think so. That made me realize that may be, the kind of things media has fed us with are not enough. May be, this guy Vikas Dubey was just a local level contractor; some big people framed him and got him killed for some personal vendetta. That is a theory, but we need to know more in order to judge the actual reason.
I started watching some more videos. And very soon, I came across a very insightful video from the time Vikas Dubey was still much younger.
Old Video To Understand Real Vikas Dubey
In this old video, when Vikas Dubey was still younger, he gives many clear answers; of course as per his version of the things. He says that he has no link with crime, he is being framed with the help of Police; it is all political vendetta which will go on "till his death"!
Yes, he mentions that the political vendetta against him will go on "till his death". He clearly knew that he had enemies. And btw, look at his humble house (at that time) in the background.
From this video, we also get to know that Vikas Dubey had surrendered even after Santosh Shukla's murder; proper trial was carried out in the court and he was finally proven innocent and let go. But the media still calls him a murderer of Santosh Shukla! He is giving clear account of events that had happened that day, and his narration looks genuine. And look at how honestly he is answering all questions.
At one point the journalist asks if he can be murdered. And Vikas Dubey replies, "Yes, if and when God would want, I can get murdered". That comes as a big shock! It changes a lot of things in our perception of this man. This man knew about 10-15 years back that he could be murdered! He knew that some people were framing him in fake cases with the help of the police. At this point, we have to look from the perspective of how village level politics in a caste ridden state of Uttar Pradesh could be. I bet, most of us can not fully understand it. But to whatever extent we can understand it, actual situation would be worse than that.
He says in the interview that he is being framed by filing false cases against him. And look at his clear views on politics which he tells honestly. From his answers in above video, we can easily get it that he was not a big politician but he had ambitions.
Next, I found another old video, also from the time Vikas Dubey was younger.
Vikas Dubey was in BSP and close to Mayawati
In this video, Vikas Dubey clearly mentions that he is close to Mayawati. He mentions that he has already spent so many years in BSP and knows most senior leaders by face, that it does not make sense for him to switch parties because then he would need to start from the scratch (the man was surely intelligent).
At this point, the puzzle behind his murder was getting clear now.
Vikas Dubey Commanded Lakh+ Brahmin Caste Votes
I saw another video, which is made in a different tone, but it mentioned that Vikas Dubey commanded at least 1 Lakh Brahmin votes in his area. It mentions, and we all know, that Uttar Pradesh politics has mostly been guided by the "Caste factor" and hence whoever commands great vote bank of a particular caste, attracted interests by all political parties. It mentions that Vikas Dubey's village and area was dominated by Brahmins.
I also heard at one point that Vikas Dubey had tried to enter BJP once, but a senior "national level" leader in BJP had stopped his plans to join the BJP. We can't guess the reason for his objection, but it could be anything.
Real Reason Why Vikas Dubey Was Killed
If we connect all the dots we saw so far, then the picture is getting clear. Look at following points:
- He was close to Mayawati
- He had spent 10+ years in BSP
- He had started politics from student politics age
- His ancestors were Jamindar and land lords in this area
- He commanded Lakh+ votes of Brahmins in this area
- He was not allowed to join the BJP when he wanted
Conclusions from political angles:
- Vikas Dubey is a politically useful man
- BJP hates Vikas Dubey
- BSP/Mayawati like Vikas Dubey
I get a clear feel that may be, he was eliminated by the BJP because he commanded huge number of Brahmin votes in his region "for the BSP"!
As we know, Mayawati had experimented with "Brahmin + Dalit" vote bank which had been successful during an election. Is it that Yogi Adityanath and the BJP wanted this man gone; since his absence helps BJP in the next election? I get a strong feel that this looks like a valid reason.
The next steps
And then the Bigger Question is: Is it beginning of "political murders" in Uttar Pradesh? If the string I have caught is the right one, then we shall see more such political murders of non-BJP influencers in the next few months year. Because certainly, Vikas Dubey was not the only one at state level. In fact, the manner in which the state police force ran after him to destroy him, it clearly tells that they wanted this episode to get over. May be so that they can move to their next target!
Next UP Election is to come in 1.5 years (Feb 2022) and perhaps this is the best time for such political murders since the time is neither too far nor too close to the Elections!
Now I can also get it why so many "Right Wing" "Twitter influencers" were insisting on not touching the "caste angle" in this murder. Is it because they knew that this was a "caste related political murder"? Who knows!
Having cracked the code, I feel like a Super Detective!
Disclaimer: You can use your own judgement; this article is speculative based on my personal observations.
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